Liberals open up lead: LPC 44, CPC 33, NDP 11. Preferred PM: Carney 56, Poilievre 22.

Nik Nanos: Mark Carney dominates the preferred–primeminister measure, outpacing Pierre Poilievre by more than thirty points. This is not merely a ballot story; it is a narrative of momentum. The big question is: will the trend favouring the Liberals continue, level off or decline.

Concerns about jobs, inflation and relations with the United States continue to frame the public mood, but they are now filtered through leadership choice rather than protest…

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