Éric Grenier: The Liberals lead with 44.1%, a drop of 0.5 points since last week and 0.9 points over two weeks. That’s the lowest level of support the model has awarded the Liberals since the February 17 update.
…Not surprisingly, when the Liberals are down (relatively speaking) the Conservatives and New Democrats tend to be up. The Conservatives’ 35% support and 98 seats are their best numbers since March 3, while the NDP registering 10.9% in the vote projection is their best score since before the 2025 election…